Almeria vs Atl Madrid
1 unit in Atl Madrid at 2,16 at Betfair
Almeria is a newcomer in La Liga. They are with a 3-3-5 record in overall and 1-1-3 at home, so we can say they are doing as expected. They lost their last 3 games, so you can see they arent in form, but they defend well and with many problems, so its difficult to defeat them at home.
But who's better to break their defence than a team that scored 10 goals in the last 3 games and that has Reyes, Maxi Rodriguez, Simao Sabrosa and Aguero in the front. Atl Madrid is a scoring machine and only their defence are not allowing them to get more points. But Almeria dont score for 300 minutes, so they shouldnt be a big threat to Madrid's defenders. Atl Madrid has to win if they dont want to lose contact to front teams, and they have potential to do it.
Atalanta vs Milan
1 unit in Milan at 1,82 at Globet
Atalanta is doing well this season, with a 4-6-1 record in overall and 2-3-0 at home. Still, they didnt faced the big teams in Italy yet and that is the test they need. They will miss Talamonti, Costinha, De Ascentis and Zampagna.
Milan didnt won at home to the league this season. Amazing! And why this happens? Because the away teams get all their players in front of the keeper and players like Kaka and Seedorf dont get space to play. When Milan play away, the things are different. A 3-1-1 record and 15 goals scored in 5 games. Also only 4 goals suffered.
Other good news is that Ronaldo is back and they can solve some of the problems that Milan are getting on the front on the net.
Villarreal vs Sevilha
1 unit in Sevilha at 2,12 at Globet
Villarreal are doing a great start of the league, with a 8-0-3 record in overall and a 4-0-1 record at home. Also, they won the last 3 games. Why am I going against them? First because they played in Czech Republic last thursday and they may miss the rest. Also they will miss Rossi, Javi Venta, Soriano and Riquelme.
But most I all, I am going against Villarreal because of Sevilha comeback. They started the league with very bad results, but they are going fine now, with 5 wins in last 6 games. Two of those wins were a 2-0 to Real Madrid and a 3-0 to Valencia. You can see Sevilha like to face big teams, and Villarreal wont be an exception. Good news with Boulahrouz, Kerzhakov and Casado back on the team.
Naval vs Leiria
1 unit in Leiria DNB at 2,16 at Globet
Naval is a team that normally fights not to relegate and this season it wont be different. They have a 1-3-5 record with 18 goals suffered, making them the worst defence of the league. They have a 0-3-1 record at home, and Naval dont win at home for 9 months. Their keeper will be out for this game.
Leiria is the last classified in the league, but they have quality to do a lot more. I can see them in the top 8 in the end of the league. Their main problem was their manager, but this week they was sent out, so the conditions for a comeback are joint. Leiria has better squad and with the motivation of a new manager should win, but at least they wont lose.
Portimonense vs Freamunde
1 unit in Portimonense at 2,12 at Globet
Portimonense is a team that are used to the Liga Vitalis. Still, they have started this season with very bad results, having an awfull 0-5-4 record. But now they have a new manager that at least cant do worst than the other and they will have 4 players back for this game.
They will face Freamunde, a newcomer in the league that are doing as expected, with a 3-2-4 record. Away from home they have a 2-0-2 record but the teams they faced arent top teams. Also they will miss 3 players, including the keeper and a central defender, so for an unexperienced team, this can get them in troubles. I see here the first victory of the season to Portimonense.
Madalena vs Juventude de Evora
2 units at Madalena at 1,65 at Globet
This game is for portuguese 3rd division, called 2ª B. Madalena is a club that fights for promotion and they are doing great. Madalena has a 7-0-3 record, but 2 of the defeats cam in the last 2 games. Its time to come back on track...
Juventude de Evora is the right team to allow Madalena get back on the wins. They are with big troubles and will only have 13 players avaiable to this game. Also they are not experienced at this level and are not doing good results. And to complete they will travel to the island where Madalena plays in the night before the game... With this conditions, it will be hard not to lose...
Electrico vs Penalva
1 unit in Penalva at 2,80 at Globet
Electrico is a newcomer in the league, and they are probably the team with a lower budget. They didnt get good players in the offseason and they are suffering a bit now. They have a 2-3-5 record in overall and a 1-2-2 record at home. Not bad at home, but they didnt face a top team yet.
Penalva started the league very well and they were in first place for some time. But then they lost 2 games and tied one. The draw was bad luck, because they played better and the equaliser came at 94 minute, and the loss was against Covilha, the best team in the league, so a fair result. Still, Penalva wants to be in the top 6 in the end of the season and they should get back to the victories here.
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